News and Analyses of events in Eastern Europe and Russia
The UN Security Council’s (UNSC) agenda has already been dominated by Russia’s war in Ukraine, leaving no room for other important concerns that demand global attention. While the UNSC has made some headway in Libya, Yemen, and Mali on the diplomatic and humanitarian fronts, it has failed spectacularly in Ukraine as the major countries continue to exploit it as a political game to score points against one another.
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Instead, the more significant move came when Russia decided to mobilize. Following much conjecture, the Kremlin has chosen to deploy around 300,000 soldiers out of a potential mobilization of 25,00,000 men. That only represents slightly more than 1% of Russia’s mobilizational capacity. Here it is being referred to as the soldiers whose official status is “reserves,” and every single one will need to undergo special training before being deployed to Ukraine. According to Russian defense minister Sergei Shoigu, the mobilization is being carried out to control “already liberated territories’’.
These forces will not be instantly available to defend the Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporozhie, and Kherson regions during the referendum on whether or not to join Russia because it will take Russia a few months to recruit and retrain (refresher courses) them. The decision was made for several reasons, including the very long line of border communication, the direct involvement of NATO personnel currently running the regime in Kiev, and the West’s threats to destabilize Russia, according to Russian President Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu.
In other words, Russia is getting ready for the battle to become more escalating. Moscow is essentially beefing up its forces to the point where they could handle a significant NATO escalation in Ukraine.
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The SCO’s evolving multilateral cooperation structures, which gather countries focusing on economic development independent from the nebulous, hegemonic “rules-based order,” are aligned with the BRI’s emphasis on trade and connectivity. Even the Modi government in India is reconsidering its reliance on western blocs, where New Delhi is at best a neo-colonized “partner.”
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Despite Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan being members of the Russian-led CSTO and hosting its forces, that Russia lacks complete control over those two countries’ military strategies and regional dynamics in general, which significantly reduces its capacity to prevent and end regional conflicts. The recent flare-up has also come up at a time when Russia is engaged in a military campaign in Ukraine and facing a hostile outbreak along the Azerbaijan-Armenia borders.
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However, the demonic deep dark state was opposed to cooperating with ‘autonomous’ nations. They all had to abide by the orders sent from on high by the Gates, Rockefeller, Soros, and other wealthy elite, who would soon be joined by Klaus Schwab, the main henchman of the World Economic Forum. Brazil suddenly experiences a sharp increase in new “cases,” with no questions asked and extensive testing, despite the fact that the famed PCR tests, according to the majority of reputable scientists, are useless (only sold and corrupted scientists, those paid by national authorities, would still insist on the RT-PCR tests). As the Brazilian economy collapses and Bolsonaro contracts the virus, the death toll rises rapidly.
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Even though the West’s GDP outweighs Russia’s, Russian stranglehold on gas cannot be broken by wishful thinking. The main issue is that over 100 countries, accounting for 40% of global GDP, do not impose complete or partial embargoes. Oil from the Urals is moving to Asia. You can fly to Moscow seven times a day with Emirates and other airlines, and Dubai is flush with Russian currency. Particularly because the majority of nations lack the will to impose Western policy, a globalized economy is good at reacting to shocks and opportunities.
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In its interactions with more powerful and adversarial nations thus far, Bangladesh has demonstrated diplomatic maturity and poise. A troubled polarization of the region between China and India has resulted from the Bay of Bengal’s recent reemergence of its strategic significance. The US involvement in the Indo-Pacific area has also increased, and Washington is working harder than ever to restrict China by establishing an axis with India in the Bay of Bengal. Bangladesh, an Indian Ocean littoral nation, has assumed a more significant role in these circumstances. In the midst of this escalating geopolitical conflict, it has had to play smart.
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According to the latest announcement from Joe Biden administration, the United States will give Ukraine extra security assistance worth $1 billion, which will be the largest one-time arms delivery since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This package provides a significant amount of additional ammunition for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS), 75,000 rounds…
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After an earthquake caused an accident at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant in 2011, Chancellor Angela Merkel announced that Germany would shut down its final three nuclear power plants by the end of the year. However, the foundation for this decision had already been laid by the previous Social Democrat-Green coalition government in 2000. In order to reach carbon reduction goals, it also intends to stop using coal power by 2038 at the latest, and preferably by 2035. Renewable energy source development, which surged at the beginning of the 2010s, has slowed down recently. Very recently, Germany, one of the biggest vocals of renewable and green energy, started firing up coal power plants. However, it was just the last year when Germany agreed to provide €237 million as soft loan for renewable energy and energy efficiency projects in Bangladesh, exclusively aimed at limiting the number and operation of traditional coal-based power plants.
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Moscow is searching for new venues now that its connections to Europe have been severed, and the huge region of Middle East, with all of its intricacies, presents a welcome chance. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov visited Algeria, Bahrain, Oman, and Saudi Arabia before the trips of the Russian President, where he also had meetings with peers from the nations of the Gulf Cooperation Council. At this time, it appears that Russia’s relations with the West, specifically Europe, are beyond repair, and Moscow appears to have undertaken a clear and decisive pivot eastward and southern, toward Asia. More importantly, Russia is acting as a guarantor to maintain the balance between Turkey, Iran and the Arab world. And for a proper balance, all parties are pursuing a strategy that can be described as compartmentalized policies for each country in order to achieve a greater collective result that satisfies domestic objectives.
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