Geopolits - Eastern Europe And Russia Archives

Trump’s Gaza Takeover and the Chaos That Will Follow

February 6, 2025March 31, 2025

And then there’s Israel, which might be celebrating now but could soon regret this whole thing. Sure, the Israeli government loves a plan that involves fewer Palestinians in Gaza, but at what cost? If Hamas gets stronger, Hezbollah gets bolder, and international condemnation reaches new heights, Israel could find itself more isolated than ever. Even its European allies, who have been fairly tolerant of Israeli policies, might start pulling away. Because, let’s face it, even the most pro-Israel European leaders will struggle to justify a U.S.-led eviction of Palestinians. At some point, the international community might have to draw the line, and when they do, Israel could find itself in a diplomatic mess of its own making.

Bangladesh’s Legal Sovereignty vs. ICC’s Western Strings

January 13, 2025March 31, 2025

The ICC’s geopolitical bias not only affects the credibility of its operations but also has diplomatic consequences. Countries with associations to ICC interventions face the risk of diplomatic fallout, affecting their global standing and relationships. For Bangladesh, submitting to ICC scrutiny can have far-reaching effects beyond the courtroom, potentially influencing its trade, aid, and diplomatic engagements.

The Influence of Religious Prophecies on Ancient, Medieval, and Modern Geopolitics

December 11, 2024April 1, 2025

In modern times, religious prophecies continue to influence geopolitics in profound ways. The belief in Christian Zionism, rooted in the idea that the return of Jews to Israel fulfils Biblical prophecy, has shaped U.S. foreign policy. Evangelical Christian groups view the establishment of Israel in 1948 as a necessary step toward the Second Coming of Christ, influencing American political support for Israel, especially under leaders such as Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush. Similarly, in Iran, Shia eschatology played a pivotal role in the Islamic Revolution of 1979. Ayatollah Khomeini framed the revolution as a step toward the eventual return of the Mahdi and the establishment of a divinely guided Islamic state. This vision continues to shape Iran’s foreign policies and regional alliances, from its support for Hezbollah to its involvement in the Syrian Civil War.

Perils of Weaponizing Tariffs in Global Trade

December 11, 2024April 1, 2025

Perhaps the most significant consequence of these tariffs is their potential to accelerate the decline of the rules-based global economic order. The WTO, already weakened by years of criticism and inaction, faces further marginalization as major economies resort to unilateral measures. This shift erodes the mechanisms that have historically provided stability and predictability in international trade, increasing the risk of disputes escalating into broader economic conflicts. In the absence of a strong multilateral framework, the global economy risks devolving into competing blocs, where power dynamics and economic leverage dictate outcomes.

How Ukraine’s Defence Industry Sold Itself Out

October 25, 2024April 1, 2025

The full impact of Ukraine’s defence collapse became clear during the Crimean annexation in 2014. With no nuclear deterrent and a military crippled by corruption, Ukraine was in no position to resist. The Battle of Ilovaisk in 2014 was particularly humiliating; many soldiers lacked even basic bulletproof vests, some resorting to buying their own protective gear. Much of Ukraine’s weaponry, like the T-64 tanks and MiG-29 jets, was non-operational, left to rust in storage. This national helplessness starkly exposed the failure to modernize and keep the once-imposing arsenal.

Categories: America / Eastern Europe and Russia / Middle East / Western Europe

Future of Multilateral Cooperation at the SCO Summit

October 20, 2024April 1, 2025

The timing of the summit is notable, occurring against the backdrop of ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the Russia-Ukraine war, and global struggles against climate change. Additionally, the rise of terrorism, a core focus of the SCO, continues to threaten peace across the region, including in Pakistan and other member states. As a multilateral organization, the SCO provides a platform to address these emerging challenges.

Founded in 2001, the SCO now comprises nine full member states, making it a unique multilateral group that spans nearly a quarter of the world’s landmass and includes 42.5% of its population. With permanent members such as China, Russia, Pakistan, India, and the Central Asian republics, along with strategic observers, the SCO has become a cornerstone of Eurasian diplomacy. Observer states like Mongolia and Afghanistan, alongside 14 dialogue partners including Azerbaijan, Armenia, Egypt, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, stand to benefit from the cooperative frameworks developed within the SCO.

Class Warfare is Not Just About Money, It’s About Who Controls the Hashtags

October 4, 2024April 1, 2025

This brings us to Karl Marx, who, bless him, thought he had it all figured out with his theory of class conflict. Marx believed history was driven by the antagonism between economic classes—the bourgeoisie and the proletariat. He predicted this would all culminate in revolution when the economic interests of these groups could no longer be reconciled. While Marx deserves credit for highlighting the role of economics in social conflict, he perhaps underestimated the sheer power of cultural forces. It turns out that intellectuals, religious leaders, and media moguls can shape society just as profoundly as any capitalist or factory owner.

Keeping the Peace or Keeping Power? How the UN Stays Relevant by Prolonging Middle East Crises

October 4, 2024April 1, 2025

This, of course, is only the latest chapter in the UN’s complicated love-hate relationship with the Middle East. For decades, the organisation has been trying—desperately, it seems—to calm the region’s never-ending conflicts, but with very little to show for it. The Syrian Civil War is still going strong, despite the UN’s best efforts to broker peace talks. In fact, there have been so many special envoys to Syria over the years, it’s hard to keep track of who’s still on the job. And then there’s Yemen, where the UN keeps trying to get the warring sides to come to the table, but all it really seems to be achieving is a high score in sending humanitarian aid to devastated areas.

Categories: America / Eastern Europe and Russia / Middle East / Western Europe

Israel vs. Hezbollah: A Middle Eastern Drama of Missiles, Martyrs, and Muddled Alliances

October 1, 2024

But the real wild card in all this is Iran. So far, Tehran’s reaction to Nasrallah’s assassination has been surprisingly muted. For a regime that usually loves to threaten “severe retaliation” whenever Israel so much as sneezes in their direction, Iran has been oddly quiet. It’s like they’ve been caught off guard and are now trying to figure out their next move. Are they planning a massive revenge attack, or are they just biding their time, waiting for the perfect moment to strike? Or maybe, just maybe, Iran has realized that a full-scale war with Israel might not be in its best interests, especially with the economy already struggling under the weight of international sanctions.

Hypocrisy in International Relations is the World’s Favorite Double Standards

September 13, 2024September 13, 2024

Countries that pride themselves on being champions of human rights have barely lifted a finger to meaningfully intervene. Thousands of Rohingya have fled to Bangladesh, which has been left to shoulder the burden of this humanitarian disaster with minimal support from the very countries that love to talk about refugees and justice. Europe, the U.S., and other global powers loudly criticize the atrocities, but conveniently remain silent when it comes to putting real pressure on Myanmar. They’re too busy with trade deals and political maneuvering to actually stand by the principles they so eagerly promote. The Rohingya crisis is a glaring example of how the world’s most powerful nations are willing to let human rights violations slide when it doesn’t suit their interests.