News and Analyses of events in Eastern Europe and Russia
Geography still plays a major role in global politics, just like the old theories from Mahan and Mackinder said. Controlling important sea routes, land corridors, and key natural resources is still essential for countries to stay powerful and influential.
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The chance of a major global war between 2025 and 2030 is real. The most dangerous flashpoints are the Taiwan Strait and the Israel-Iran conflict. The Russia-NATO situation also remains risky. Other threats—like cyberattacks, climate change, economic troubles, and local wars in Africa—may seem smaller but can grow fast, especially if big countries get involved.
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Geoeconomics—using trade and money as tools for global influence—is changing how countries deal with each other. Whether it’s the US-China trade war, the sanctions on Russia, or China’s investments through the BRI, all of these examples show the different ways countries are using economic strategies to get ahead.
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The world’s financial system is quietly going through major changes. Many people are calling it a “New Financial Cold War.” What’s happening is that countries like China, Russia, and others are trying to rely less on the U.S. dollar. They want more control over their own money systems, especially as tensions with the U.S. rise and sanctions become more common.
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Russia, China, and Iran have been stepping up their military teamwork in recent years. They now hold regular joint naval drills, like “Security Bond-2023” and “Marine Security Belt 2024” in the Gulf of Oman. These exercises include warships and aircraft from all three countries, covering huge areas of sea to practice fighting terrorism and protecting trade routes. Other countries, like Pakistan and India, even sent observers in 2024.
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A big reason for this race is money—the space industry is expected to be worth $1.8 trillion by 2035. Private companies are also shaping the field. SpaceX, for example, offers satellite services like Starlink to governments, which can be used for both civilian and military purposes, adding more complexity.
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Military strength still plays a major role in global influence. In 2025, the US is spending about $850 billion on defense, while China is spending around $249 billion. The US has 292 navy warships, including 11 aircraft carriers. China, on the other hand, has a larger fleet with over 370 ships, but only 3 aircraft carriers. Chinese news outlets, like the Global Times, say the country is upgrading its military to handle modern security threats. Their defense budget is going up by 7.2% this year, continuing a trend of steady but modest yearly increases.
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China is dealing with Trump’s tariff war by standing its ground, adjusting where needed, and rethinking its global strategy. It’s hitting back with its own tariffs to respond right away, but it’s also working to depend less on the U.S. by finding new trade partners, moving parts of its supply chains, and using soft power to shape its global image.
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In 2025, the mix of fast-moving technology, growing nationalism, urgent climate action, shifting populations, and a more balanced world power structure is rewriting the global playbook. Countries and companies need to be ready: go digital, rethink where you get your supplies, go green, prepare your workforce, and always have a backup plan. The winners will be those who turn challenges into opportunities and stay ahead of the curve. The future isn’t set—it belongs to those bold enough to shape it.
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Despite its economic and technological progress, BRICS faces several internal and external challenges. China and India, for instance, have long-standing trade and territorial disputes, which were notably exacerbated by the 2020 Ladakh clash. These tensions could pose risks to BRICS’ internal cohesion, particularly as India remains highly reliant on Chinese imports, including electronics.
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