One potential scenario could involve the military effectively consolidating its power and addressing opposition through various means, such as employing force or engaging with ethnic armed groups and political parties. This could potentially lead to a situation where there may be a decrease in the space available for civil society, media, and human rights, potentially resembling an authoritarian regime. The military would also aim to safeguard its economic interests and privileges, while actively pursuing stronger partnerships with China, its primary ally and investor. China would potentially find advantages in having a neighboring country that offers stability and amicability, facilitating access to valuable natural resources and markets. Additionally, such a neighbor could serve as a strategic buffer in relation to India and America. However, it is important to consider that this scenario may bring about certain challenges for Burma, including potential isolation from Western nations, potential reduction in foreign aid and investment, potential increase in poverty and inequality, and potential continuation of ethnic conflicts and humanitarian crises.
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News and Analyses of events in South Asia
Bangladesh Gets Russian Support Amid Western Interference in Domestic Politics
The Bangladesh Awami League has held political power since 2009 and has fostered a significant diplomatic rapport with Russia. Russia also extended its support to the government led by the Awami League through a range of means, including financial assistance in the form of loans, provision of weaponry, collaboration in the nuclear energy sector, and diplomatic endorsement. Russia aims to enhance its access and collaboration with Bangladesh on diverse matters, including trade, energy, security, and counterterrorism, through its endorsement of the Awami League government.
Read moreHow will India crack American puzzle in Bangladesh?
In essence, it is imperative for India to effectively reconcile its security concerns with its economic and political objectives in the context of Bangladesh. Achieving a delicate equilibrium in this endeavour poses a formidable challenge, yet it remains imperative for India’s enduring security.
Read moreAn Overview of American Geostrategy and the Indian Ocean Region
In the context of 21st century, the American geostrategy in the Indian Ocean region is to leverage its military, diplomatic, and economic tools to achieve its aim of full spectrum dominance.
Read moreThe Impact of US Visa Restrictions on Bangladesh’s Democratic Process
in order to establish an advanced democracy, it is recommended that Bangladesh refrain from emulating Western models and instead explore traditional methods to foster political engagement among its populace. The primary objective of democracy in Bangladesh ought to be centered on enhancing the self-determination of the marginalized and disadvantaged demographic economically, rather than catering to the geopolitical agenda of the United States.
Read moreWhy do some countries benefit from the turbulent political journey of Pakistan?
Pakistan’s current political and economic crisis is complicated and multifaceted, with significant geopolitical repercussions. It has been made clear how vulnerable the civilian administration is and how strong the military institution is due to the recent arrest of Prime Minister Imran Khan on corruption accusations. As each of them has various interests and agendas in the region, geopolitical players, including the USA, KSA, China, India, and Russia, play a significant part in the political processes in Pakistan. This article focuses on the geopolitical factors causing internal strife without any apparent solution for the politicians of Pakistan. The prevalence of political instability in Pakistan poses significant challenges for the populace, impeding routine economic and social undertakings and engendering the risk of loss of life.
Read moreIs Bangladesh’s Indo-Pacific Outlook a strategic manoeuvre to counterbalance geopolitical forces?
The Bangladesh Government announced its 15-point Indo-Pacific Outlook (IPO) on 24 April 2023, in advance of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s upcoming tri-nation visit to Japan, the USA, and the UK. The publication of Bangladesh’s Indo-Pacific Outlook (IPO) before Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s trip to Japan, the United States, and the United Kingdom could be taken as a statement to the West and India that the Sheikh Hasina administration is neither anti-American nor pro-Chinese. It might also be interpreted as a ploy to win over the West ahead of the impending national election in the first quarter of 2024.
Read moreRising Powers, Deepening Rivalry: The Implications of India-China Tensions
According to numerous international media sources, India, on 3rd of April 2023, has reacted strongly to China’s recent attempts to rename a number of locations in the northeastern state of Arunachal Pradesh. This is in light of rumors that eleven locations along a contentious Himalayan border area within the state have received new names from China. This article details the main disagreements between India and China after the current incident.
Read moreThe State of Democracy in Bangladesh
Democracy is an ancient concept of governance that has been around for centuries. It ensures that the voices and needs of the people are heard and taken into account when making decisions. It is evident that no society can be founded without democratic values, even before the earliest documented democracy in Greece. This video is a semi-academic discussion on democracy in Bangladesh. Watch the video to learn more.
Read morePersisting instability in Myanmar may spark a broader conflict
This indiscriminate violence has eroded the Junta’s support among the populace against the civilian population, which has brought the nation dangerously close to civil war as more civilians take up guns to oppose the military regime.In terms of Myanmar, Bangladesh is in a difficult position. Fighting nearly all of the nation’s ethnic groups doesn’t improve Myanmar’s situation. Myanmar is most likely ineligible to be classified as a state, let alone a single entity or even a federation, given the reduced reality of its geography. The rebels have control over one-half of the map. Even though China openly supports these rebels, it hasn’t been able to do much about them.The Tatmadaw is also backed by China, which is puzzling. Consequently, things can get complicated when a government engages in combat with forces supported and equipped by its closest ally. Myanmar is discovering that overthrowing an elected government can be entertaining but not as entertaining as expected.
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